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Old 11-06-2007, 11:56 AM  
ADL Colin
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Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Tube Titans, USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rebel23 View Post
no one is truly a longshot when they have $10m cash in hand, he is going to promote his message in New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, Michigan and South Carolina, he is buying radio, tv ads and stuff so dont worry about that, he can grow support very easily

also he is NOT a long shot according to the betting markets - far from it!

the polls are asking registered republicans from 4 years ago, they're not accurate
Oct 29. Washington Post: Ron Paul 3%
Oct 31. Newsweek. Ron Paul 3%
Nov 2. CNN. Ron Paul 5%

McCain would get 3x as many votes today as Paul and who considers McCain to have much of a shot at this point? Paul is 6th in all 3 polls. Not impossible but highly unlikely and definitely a longshot. I mean, come on he is trailing Huckabee in the polls at this point.
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