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The way I see the election is this (and I follow politics like rotisserie geeks follow baseball...I love it)
The republicans are fucked. They have a very unpopular president in the white house, they just lost their congressional majority, and none of their candidates can really excite the base. They all have conflicts in their positions or records with the republican platform.
Situations like this usually lead to anemic turnout on election day.
The one thing that could change that is Hillary getting the democratic nomination. The republicans don't really like any of their candidates, but boy oh boy do they hate Hillary. Republican turnout would be insane, plus Hillary has alot of problems with independents too....so the republicans best hope is for Hillary to get the nomination.
If it's Edwards or Obama the republicans don't stand a chance.
If Hillary gets the nomination and runs against Romney or Giuliani, it'll be one of those mud slinging, hate-filled, New York style pig fucks that will make you wish we had a parliamentary system of government.
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