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if he can gets his voters out he will do well in the early states don't you worry about that
the polls massively understate him, he has pointed out that a lot of the polls leave him off their lists (see the youtube video further up) that a lot of his supporters were not registered republicans who voted at the last election or primary and that a lot of them might be young without landlines so the polling organizations don't contact them
Paul has his best chance in Iowa and New Hampshire because they're open primaries with no voter registrations you can just show up and vote or caucus so in theory if he can get enough of his supporters out these formats should favour him massively and he's spending and campaigning hard in those states while Guiliani and Thompson have already given up on them
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