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Old 12-18-2007, 04:35 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by ADL Colin View Post
In the long run they probably have about the same chance. It comes down to campaign strategy and what happens on the campaign trail. Bush got Kerry pretty good with that flip/flop stuff and Kerry put his foot in his mouth a few times and proved him right. Oh, and "Swift Boat Vets".

"It's the Economy, Stupid!" A serendipitious slogan that started as a sign in the campaign strategy room.
That is true. With the right strategy you can make any candidate, bad or good, look amazing. I always tell people to look at the 2000 election. While Bush was governor of Texas that state ranked last in environmental quality and bottom 5 in strength of economy and quality of education. Al Gore was handed the presidency on a silver platter. Things were relatively peaceful, the economy was chugging along and things were pretty good. All he had to do was point out that Bush was a failure as a governor and that if elected president he would bring those problems to the entire nation. Gore refused to attack him and he refused to pull out Bill Clinton, who , despite his problems, was a pretty popular president when he left office. Bush's people polished him up and he ran a brilliant campaign. Kick in a little help from his peeps in Florida and include the old people in Florida being confused by the ballot and he won when he probably should have lost in a landslide.

With enough money and the right plan any candidate can be sold the public.
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