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Originally Posted by cykoe6
False. The US (along with Britain, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia and many others) are legitimately concerned about the potential consequences of Iran getting nuclear weapons. The US has no chance of seizing Iranian oil. In Iraq the US has spent billions of dollars, has received no oil and instead has paid $140 per barrel to import it. There have been no economic benefits of the invasion. The idea that the US went to war for oil is so absurd as to be laughable. Just look at the results. We have not siezed any Iraqi oil fields and we are paying 5 times as much to import oil. Furthermore no one is contemplating a ground invasion of Iran or an attempt to steal their oil fields. Obviously any military action against Iran will only increase the amount that the US must pay for oil when they import it.
That is why the US is trying to avoid a conflict. The facts are, however, that Israel has every reason to attack Iran to try and stop them going nuclear. Given the potential ramifications of such an attack then the US and the West has a lot of incentive to try and talk Iran down from the brink. Iran has stated many times that if they go nuclear they will attack Israel. Given this fact it can be assumed that Israel will attack first to try and stop that from happening. No matter what you think of Israel no one can expect them to just wait to be annihilated. Israel will attack first (as well they should, the Government of Israel has obligation to try and protect their people from extinction). Obviously the consequences will be horrible so that is the purpose to try and stop Iran from going nuclear while there is still time.
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Ok, we are both can only guess about that but don't know it for sure. We have only theories so far. Let's wait and see what will happen - will the USA attack Iarn or not.
Quote:
Originally Posted by cykoe6
False. Russia has many strategic reason to be interested in Georgia and the Ukraine. The primary interest in Georgia is the pipeline that runs from Azerbaijan though Georgia and Turkey. This is the only route for Caspian oil which does not go though Russia or Iran. By controlling this route Russia would have complete control over the regions oil supplies.
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Sorry but you are wrong. What is a reason to occupy Georgia just to control the pipeline? As we say here: "игра не стоит свеч". That's is very simple because the control of one more pipeline (you know that Russia is already controlling a lot of them) is not profitable because Russia will need to feed Georgians, spend money on keeping that region under control etc. w/o any guaranty that the pipeline won't be moved to Armenia... Following to your logic, it's better to invade Azerbaijan because it's not just a total control on pipe which can be moved to Armenia in case if Russia invades Georgia, but also a total control on the RESOURCES which is much more profitable. But for some reason Russia has never attacked Azerbaijan. These are facts and a simple logic. Right?
So Russia come to Georgia to protect its citizens in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Mission accomplished and Russian forces will be moved back within a couple of days. You'll see that yourself.
Once again: a shitty pipeline is not a reason to invade Georgia it's just a Saakashvili's BS he's trying to spread via western media. You already confirmed that Saakashvili is a liar and western media bias against Russia. If Russia wanted a REAL control of the pipeline and the resources it would invade Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan instead. Just take a look at the map to understand what I'm talking about
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