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I've always thought McCain could beat Obama. The national polls don't matter as much as the big states like Ohio and Florida and a few others where McCain has a real advantage.
I'm also predicting McCain will kill Obama in the debates. Not because of his rhetoric, but because he will make Obama come off like an arrogant know-it-all beating up on an old man, a war veteran, and someone who "earned" their place to be a candidate which will play right to the people McCain needs to win over.
Obama's only chance is to pick Hillary as a running mate. He needs that 15% that backed her but will not support Obama. If McCain gets those, he wins. Simple as that.
P.S. I don't want McCain to win.
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