Quote:
Originally Posted by Sebring Studios
It's actually probably not that close. It's my understanding that most polling agencies conduct their phone surveys with 95% landline users. That would exclude the majority of college age voters (AKA Obama voters) who have cell phones as their only phone.
If that's true, Obama should take it by a landslide.
|
They have been saying that for the last few elections and the polls still almost always turn out to be pretty damn spot on accurate. One of the reasons for that is that college age people without land lines tend to not vote. They talk a good game, then don't vote. Look at the last election. Kerry registered more first time voters than any candidate in history (Obama has or will top that number in this election though) and on election day most of them didn't vote. Bill Clinton was able to activate the far left and get the young people to the polls and he rode them to victory. If Obama can do that he wins. It is that simple. If he can't it will be much closer.