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Originally Posted by - Jesus Christ -
I don't know if it will be close or not, but this doesn't give me any insight or new info.
If I had to make I guess I would have to say that an Internet poll on a betting website is probably NOT a good indication of an presidential election outcome. 
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I'm not sure what the betting website has to do with it. Their members are mostly americans, and the poll question and options are about as straightforward as it gets.
Like I said, I don't put much stock on polls either, but in my opinion this one is as valid as any, at least of web-based polls.
At least it has a fairly high participation rate. Some I've seen have had only a few hundred votes and people are drawing conclusions.
