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It's the economy..
Just put yourself in the position you were a couple years ago when most people were doing well. You left your recurring gym membership running even though you rarely go. When you went out to eat, you likely went to a nicer place and ordered better wine and food. People were buying gas hogging SUV's before fuel got so expensive. Look into your own daily life and you'll see most of you have cut back on spending, as has the rest of the world.
Tubes and torrents are only going to become more popular while people are scraping for cash. They will die down when people have money again and don't want to waste the time not getting exactly what they want from a niche specific paysite. The big megasites that don't cater to a specific niche will die, at least for affiliates.
I agree that some kind of content protection will become essential to any business expecting to stay afloat. It really is essential now, but the big producers are afraid of losing customers NOW instead of being fearful of losing them forever once the inevitable happens and that customer discovers the world of whole site rips. It's a very difficult catch 22, but like we see in the U.S. credit system, it's only going to get worse the longer it's ignored.
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