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Old 11-03-2008, 04:12 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by GatorB View Post
And that's the only scenario McCain can win under. It doesn't matter if there is any voter fraud or not. If Obama loses come close states and thus the election most blacks will think it was stolen regardless of the facts. Which part is hard for people to get? When you are fucked over by whitey for 400 years it natural to assume whitey fucked you over again. Obama WILL win the popular vote by at least 2.5 million by my estimation.
I agree. I think regardless he will win the popular vote by at least a couple million votes. I have a feeling that he will win in a landslide and take most of the battleground states too. I read a poll the other day that included people that only have cell phones (mostly younger people) and he is way out ahead in those polls (although there is no guarantee that those people will actually vote). Also they say there is a 30% rise in the number of black people that are voting and that many of those people are first time voters and they have helped put states like Georgia in play. If both those group show up and vote tomorrow it will be a landslide.

To me the biggest factor that Obama has going for him is who is running the elections. In the last two elections in two of the biggest battleground states the sec. of state for those states who is in charge of the election were republicans and they were also in charge of Bush's campaign in that state so they did what they could to tilt things in favor of Bush. In both of those states the sec. of state is now a democrat so you know they won't be doing little things behind the scenes screw Obama.

Last edited by kane; 11-03-2008 at 04:14 PM..
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