sortie

I'm starting to think that programmers will
not actually disappear but just not be available for contract work the way it is now.

Why?

The game changes too much.

There is just not going to be enough freelancers around in a few years because
the stuff websites are going to be doing is only going to get more complex and bigger
companies are not going to deal with trying to find a freelancer when they "need it now".

I'm not seeing that open source is going to be able to keep up.
Open source programmers are going to be snatched up and put on full time, so
who's going to have time to write open source?

A few years ago webmasters built entire websites without a single script but that
has changed to where people say "I want to build a website, who has the scripts?"

And these scripts got more and more complex. Seems like a trend that will continue.
The scripts that run websites will probably be so complex in 10 years that it would
take a single programmer 18 months to create it.
Looking at 18 months with no pay just to see if the software is profitable is
going to push freelancers into the full time positions.


OK, I might be wrong. It's just a theory.

But when I look at something like NATS, I'm not going to spend anytime trying to make something
to compete with that. It's just smarter to apply for a job with NATS.

That would be the cliff notes to what I was trying to say.

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