Check the stats of any of the biggest general niche sponsors (big tits, asses, regular nice stuff, expensive production, porn chicks, porn guys) and you'll see a huge drop in overall traffic (ok, what are stats? but I guess we CAN already admit there's something going on, can't we?).
That means that not only the pay sites are receiving much less traffic compared to for example one year ago, but also that the paysite promos )(fhg's / clips etc. ) and affiliates in general receive less traffic compared to for example that one year ago.
The biggest like Nastydollars offer an excellent value for their members, plus have their own dating and cams and I don't know what all to upsell, so I don't think these are getting hurt that much, because rebills always do the most of the revenue, and the retention must be insane in their case.
BUT they most likely also receive much less new sign ups (and this is NOT only because of oversaturation, as far as their sites couldn't get over saturated over night and there is a radical change in the traffic trend if you check anything you want - google labs or alexa or etc. I doubt they would show us their stats

).
Here's a very simple question:
Where did the traffic that used to reside and hit the affiliate promos / free sites / mgp's / blogs etc. go?
How about some place with even more free full length porn and NO affiliate links in it?
Or did many stop to jack off and joined the monastery? Or did they stop using internet? I wouldn't expect that.
Let's still remain positive about marketing of practically any stuff, that's still unique in nature, and different than the overload of free porn out there, but this very, very simple assumption says that illegal tube sites indeed ARE a problem.
How big is the problem?
-20 pct.- 40 pct. - 60 pct. of new sign ups?
Who gets hurt the most?
What niche works for you? What niche sucks?
Let's talk about this statement:
Will an almost perfect free substitute harm the sales of a particular good?
YES
I would also dare to say, that the argument, that was mentioned here many times - that this is a regular evolution and it has been here before, I'm afraid it's not entirely correct.
We're dealing with a different animal here - numbers talk clearly - the traffic pool has changed forever, the customer is jacking the same, but paying less than ever.
AND of course then the one who pulls the credit card gets gang raped by some!
Thank you!
Glad to hear your thoughts, let's debate, trolls please post too for a little smack down intermezzo.
