Thread: Kentucky Derby!
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Old 05-02-2009, 10:10 AM  
mikeyddddd
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Join Date: Mar 2003
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This is the biggest bunch of turdballs I've ever seen in the Derby. It could possibly be the worst ever.

There's no real speed in the race, even though Pletcher will send Join In the Dance as a rabbit. And even if there were, there's not any great closers to take advantage of it.

The Derby is always crowded, but this is going to be one big clusterfuck with everyone even more packed together than usual. It's going to come down to racing luck and getting a good trip.

Friesan Fire or Regal Ransom are the only ones I see that have the ability to take an early lead and possibly keep it on a sloppy track.

This might be the year that Godolphin finally gets a return on the millions that the Sheikh has invested. Or a horse that never raced as a 2-year-old, like Dunkirk, has a chance.

Here's my analysis of your horses:

6 - Friesan Fire - An improving horse that should run close to the lead. He beat a mediocre field in the Louisiana Derby.

7 - Papa Clem - Beaten by Friesan Fire in Louisiana and then beat a light field in the Arkansas Derby.

1 - West Side Bernie - An improving horse who has not shown much.

15 - Dunkirk - The most impressive horse in the field whose lack of racing experience makes it hard to recommend, but too talented to ignore.

12 - General Quarters - I picked him on looks to win Blue Grass. Everyone's sentimental pick for the Derby.

19 - Desert Party - Originally thought to be the Sheikh's best shot, but Godolphin's other entry, Regal Ransom, has been better.

16 - Pioneerof the Nile - Easily the best in the west who's on a roll. I'm partial to the California horses.

2 - Musket Man - Illinois Derby winner is not bred to go the classic distances but has one of my favorite jockeys, Eibar Coa, making the ride.

I'd have it 6-10-15-16. Regal Ransom is the 10. If you want some shots take 11 (Chocolate Candy) or 3 (Mr Hot Stuff).




Last edited by mikeyddddd; 05-02-2009 at 10:11 AM..
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