Originally Posted by Thurbs

sure :

currently with his stats .. he has 18% of his income coming from rebills. if this was all stats coming from first 35 days of sales ( which I doubt ) you'd assumg that either the full month signups he was making weren't retaining, or the conversions from who he's promoting are lacking.

now, in this current climate ( with credit card limits lower then previous years, and current balances higher ) I'm assuming that this would be the trend he'll see for a while from these sponsors. maybe I'm wrong, but this is a wild stab. unlike a program, a small affiliate has no aggregrate data to base his opinions on outside of Ratios and Earnings, and right now, based on his numbers, his earnings per click are handicaped by a lack of conversion / rebills.

Take his first sponsor, he's effectively earning 16.57 a sale. even with a big pickup of rebills / conversions, this might peak at 35-40 per sale, and that's a big if, especially based on the limited stats we have to see.

Had he been promoting a PPS sponsor or the PPS option at the avg 35 PPS, he'd have earned $490, instead of $232, a 211% gain on earnings.

While the money from revshare should pick up, that's later money, and revshare is a winner primarily for those who have volume of sales ( which he does not )

If any of his plans for growth entailed outsourcing labor of any kind ( Design, writers, scripts ) he would need money for this. Money that his current plan really doesn't afford him, as the OP has said he lives on this money and his expenses are only $8 a month plus whatever he values his time at.

He plans on growing sales 25% in a months time ( commendable ) however, there is no gaurantee that his rebills will see this growth, since that is out of his hands.

PPS would afford any small affiliate the means to invest in their growth and expansion, and do so in an instant fashion. In business, they say time is money, the more time he waits to expand, the more people will expand in his place.

If his or anyones goal is to start small and end up big, my suggestion is to go with PPS. higher margins on a faster payscale is the key to earlier growth. that's simply a fact, no one grows overnight while counting on theoretical money 3 months down the line.

paysites have a limited earning potential for affiliates, signup + retention. ( These handicapped earners should be his PPS area )

alternatives like cams / datings, have more viable earning potential, in the form of upgrades, credits, and special offers. ( These supplemental ads should be his revshare area )

all of this is based on assumptions that I can't say are accurate since I'm not the poster, but in the example I've given, you can see why PPS is the better bet for the affiliate at current stage.

He sent 68913 clicks to sponsors, say he had a paltry 1:1200 avg with avg pps at 35 PPS, that's $2010 USD vs $1315. I doubled the avg b/c some PPS sponsors may convert differently then his current revshare ones.

If his ratios stayed the same, 1:675, he'd have earned $3573 , a 271% increase.

Since it looks like his sponsors are alot of Full Trial joins, you might say his ratios would get even better as PPS is typically Trials joins over Fulls.

Just my 2 cents