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Originally Posted by MovieMaster
Here is the reality of what shes going to be doing...
If she is really going to become a national figure and use her natural charisma which most politicians would kill for, much like obama who also didnt do shit in terms political achievement, gets elected and leaves 2 years into his senate campaign, ran against no one because he got all his competition thrown off the ballot and won election without any competition. Blame Ditka for that one, and if your saying bullshit look it up. Anywho here is the most logical and smartest move she could make.
1. Shes going to have to move and take up residence in the lower 48 and become a pivotal speaking figure and playing the political game by raising money for other politicians ie Romney Tim Pawlenty or Romney JIndal in 2012 I think he is the most realistic candidate to run in 2012 at this point.
2. She would prob take a cabinet position job beefing up her street cred, and sharpening her political insider effectiveness while balancing and maintaining her authenticity which is what got her so much attention. Shes not gonna float you some BS political answer for the most part...
3. She will probably be best geared for a serious run come 2016-2020 since shes so young... She has plenty of time to become a player for years to come.
The only reason I truly think she was such a target is the left knew she was right over the target and they were very afraid of her... Why else would they attack as they did...
You can give me some line like she deserved it blah blah blah.... cut the bullshit... Its the same reason why the right went after barack... He speaks well off a prompter and has charisma which any politician anywhere in the world would die for, and I think undoubtly what really won him the election... well that and democrats great job at making it socially cool to demonize bush which made it easier... Much like the republicans did during the vietnam war against LBJ so it made it that much easier for a political swing to the other side Nixon / Ford .
But hey thats my logic of how she would play it unless the climate was right for a run in 2012 but Romney seems positioned to give Obama one hell of a fight. Remember politics is all about timing.
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For sure she is going to have to leave Alaska and move somewhere where she can get easier access to the rest of the country without having huge trips. I still think she might run for the senate seat coming up in Alaska. If that person runs for governor she could run for the senate seat. If she wins that puts her in Washington a lot and she can use that as a base of operations to get out to the different states. Plus it gives her more experience on a national level.
Realistically how the 2012 election goes is all in Obama's hands. If three years from now things are good and he is popular it won't matter who runs against him because they will lose. It is very difficult to beat an incumbent president to begin with. It is nearly impossible if things are going well and he is popular.
If things aren't going well and his popularity has slipped he could be vulnerable, but that would still mean that the republicans would only have three years to get their shit together and right now their party is in shambles. Romney has money and a name, but if Obama is poised to crush whoever goes up against him he may not even run in 2012. If you run once and lose, especially if you get crushed it is almost impossible to overcome that so he might wait until 2016 as well.
That said I still see Palin as a Huckabee kind of candidate. she can do really well in the bible belt states, but when you eventually leave those states and move into the more progressive states it is hard for severe right wingers (and make no mistake that is exactly what she is) to do well. Her biggest problem is that to half the country she is folksy and they find her charming. The other half think she is annoying and dumb. It will be very hard for her to overcome that.