Originally Posted by kane

I wouldn't be so fast to say that Democrats will be out of power and that Obama is a one term president. For the most part people don't care about the national debt or the budget deficit. People care about their lives. If they look around and see that they have a decent house and a decent job and a decent car and if the future looks good for them, then they aren't in an all fired hurry for change to come around.

Many of those that right now are screaming the loudest are primarily right wingers who have been herded into the "tea party" under the guise that they are doing something great. In the end those people will put their support behind some republican candidate. It might be Ron Paul, but Ron Paul really has no actual interest in being president so he will lose and they will eventually support someone like Romney or, God forbid, Palin. They are nothing new and they only make up a small percent of the population.

It is very hard to beat an incumbent president. It is almost impossible to beat him if he is popular. Obama's future is in his hands. There will be a health care bill which, conveniently, won't really start to go into action until after he runs for a second term so if it sucks he doesn't have to deal with that during the election. If the situation in Iraq/Afghanistan is getting better and the economy is recovered/recovering and looking good in 2012, he will get re-elected. He can show health care, a recovered economy and turning the war against terror around has his achievements and he will probably win easily. That said, if things don't go his way, then he could be vulnerable.

The democrats in the house and senate are a different story. They will go home and tell the people of their districts that they have passed health care and are working to turn the economy around and that all the republicans want to do is say no to everything and keep things as they were. The question is, will the people buy it? In some areas they will and in others they won't. I predict that in 2010 they will lose seats in both the house and senate, bu they won't lose their majority.

I don't believe in a media conspiracy that pertains to them choosing a candidate and talking them up or bashing them. I believe the news is all about ratings and they cover what will give them ratings. If bashing someone or supporting someone does that, then that is what they do.