Originally Posted by kane

It is very hard to beat an incumbent president. It is almost impossible to do if he is popular and doing a decent job. If 2012 rolls around and the economy is looking decent, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are going well and he has made some front with health care and some of the other things he has promised, he will win easily. It won't matter who the republicans nominate and I wouldn't be shocked to see some of the bigger names sit it out.

However, if the economy is still in the crapper and not looking like it is improving and things aren't going well in Iraq and Afghanistan, he could be vulnerable. However, to beat him the republicans will have to find a top notch candidate and right now they can't even agree on what being a conservative really is.