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There will always be affiliates because the cost of entering the adult business - the startup costs - are next to nothing, and infintesimal compared with (most) "mainstream" projects.
Of course, how many affiliates will be consistently earning their LIVING from being an affiliate EXCLUSIVELY is really the point, I think. Those numbers will continue to fall because, let's face it, while you're trying to "make it" it takes hours and hours of concentrated focus, and when you're making $13 a day ppl tend to burn out. The 'established affiliates' will have to decide how much - or how little - profit they NEED to survive, thus determining how long even they will play this game.
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