Quote:
Originally Posted by signupdamnit
2000 - 2010 matches my experiences in the industry. It also matches some of the old forum conversations if you look (although people tend to BS about their ratios). I have no clue about what the future ratios will be. All I did was take historical data and use it to predict the numbers based on the trend.
For reference see this thread from late 2004: http://www.gofuckyourself.com/showthread.php?t=397135
The numbers aren't too far off.
I hope you're right but I think the devaluation of the product itself will be a greater force.
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You aren't taking into account dozens (thousands) of factors that affect ratios. Also, people will not just quit buying stuff. Things will shift as they always have and those still sticking to 15 year old business models on the internet will be left in the dust as is happening right now.
The funny part is that because affiliates are so hung up on the fat PPS payouts the programs we have now are too scared to offer anything that would convert better but leave less to share. This is one of the main reasons that all but a few programs will phase out affiliates all together.
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