04-07-2011, 05:43 AM
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It's 42
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Global
Posts: 18,083
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Too many hypothetical variables for an exact answer ...
Business models have changed and people that have money to spend have changed their spending patterns.
There has been little radical change in the porn paysite model in the past 10 years while competition has increased/changed.
The flood of stolen, copyright infringing content has accelerated the decline in paysite income. Why pay what for what you can get for free is the consumer thinking ? difficult to argue with and overcome.
However, from my perspective, the members of the adult industry that advertise and allow their "goods" to be offered on the "copyright infringing tube type sites" are jackals and are cannibalizing their own industry.
When you support them you are ensuring your own eventual demise. "Shooting yourself in the foot" so to speak. I am not sure which business model will implode first ? if it is that of the content producers ? then there will be no new content to steal in time ? people will lose interest in pirate sites with stale, ancient stolen content.
But there is a new impending threat that of actual user created porn content. "My wife's Nasty Movie." Cinematographic excellence only goes so far ? is has become possible for amateurs to create "reasonable quality" content at low cost with current technology. There will be new competition and these tube sites that you complain of are in a position to exploit this trend. With a few exceptions, the sponsor-affiliate business model is doing little to exploit this business model that is on the horizon.
Don't feel so bad, other non-porn industries find themselves in the same circumstances.
"Dinosaurnomics"
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