Quote:
Originally Posted by dyna mo
the fact that bachmann & paul combined to capture almost 60% of the votes means nothing?
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Yep it means nothing.
In 1987 Pat Robertson and Bob Dole combined for got 58.5% of the vote at the poll. George HW Bush won the nomination
In 2007 Romney and Huckabee won 50.5% of the vote yet McCain won the nomination.
In the past people like Steve Forbes and Phil Gramm have won over 20% of the vote and came nowhere close to winning the nomination.
Only once in the history of the poll has the winner gone on to win the White House. Bachmann is like Huckabee in a sense. Outside the bible belt she has no real support and With Perry now in the race and possibly Palin still to enter she has to share that far right support with other people. When Perry entered the race her chances of winning the nomination went way down. She was likely a long shot to begin with and now that Perry is in whatever those chances were are cut in half. Paul has a 0.0% chance of winning because he won't play the game and collect the large amounts of money from corporate donors so he won't be able to compete with the big dogs in the fight.