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Old 11-07-2011, 02:14 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by 12clicks View Post
I agree he needs money but there is still a ton of money on the sidelines he could tap into if he becomes the "not romney" candidate.
Also, I think you're wrong about the religious right. If Cain is out, the choice will be newt or the rhino mormon. I'm liking his odds in that scenario.
And I don't think he has a problem with the tea party. he's pretty inline with them and has his original contract with america as street cred.

It will be interesting. I just think his road just got easier if cain is now out
His road did get a lot easier with Cain self destructing.

As for the religious right, it will depend on what those voters do early. Worst case scenario for Newt or Mitt is that right out the gate in Iowa the religious right rallies around someone like Perry or Bachman and gives them a win. While I really doubt either of those two could win the nomination, it could drive donors to them and the press would love that because it would suddenly make them a potentially legit candidate. If someone like that comes out of nowhere both Mitt and Newt have real trouble. However, if, like you say, there is no religious right candidate that gets votes then the choice for those voters will be the Mormon or the guy who cheated on his wife and then divorced her while she was in the hospital with cancer. Likely, neither of them will get the support which actually could help Newt win the nomination, but could kill him in the general election.
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