The New York Times is predicting Ron Paul will win Iowa as well now:
Quote:
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Mr. Paul also leads our forecast. The model gives him a 44 percent chance of winning Iowa based on the current standing of the candidates and the historic uncertainty of polling-based forecasts. Mr. Romney has a 32 percent chance of winning, while Mr. Gingrich?s chances have crashed to 15 percent.
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http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...iowa-forecast/
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/fi...primaries/iowa