GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - Forget global warming, but what are they saying the cause is for these bizarre warm winter temps?

Bill8 · 03-18-2012, 06:42 PM

BTW, if you do manage to find a few of the articles from the small minority of scientists who wrote articles about the possibility of the end of the interglacial, thsi is what they are going to say.

First, the article authors will all be geologists - there wasn't really a discipline of climatology at the time, the only people talking about cooling and warming were geologists and archaeologists and paleontologists.

Second, the articles will talk about the relatively recent discovery of the time scale of glacial and interglacial periods, which had really just been measured at that point by the relatively new technology of core sampling. combined with carbon dating, which establish the trie time frame of glaciations.

Third, the articles will note that we were already into the 15th millenia of interglacial, and that the last series of interglacials, for about 600k years, had lasted an average of 10k years. Therefore, we were OVERDUE for an ice age.

And, finally, they will all say...

Fourth, that while we were technically overdue, there was no sign of an ice age, and measurements showed if anything a continuing warming trend.

This was in the 70s - warming was noticeable even then, altho we had not yet really developed any global warming theory above the simplest of models, and climatology was not a seperate disciplione yet.

Thats what I predict they will say. Prove me wrong.

I leave out the peer review part, in which the majority of geologists basically said, "don't be hysterical, there is no evidence for a returning ice age'.

Because THERE WAS NO CONSENSUS. It was just a dramatic theory that got a lot of news coverage - because it's dramatic, not because scientists thought much of it as a model.

03-18-2012, 06:42 PM
Bill8 Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2001 Posts: 1,901	BTW, if you do manage to find a few of the articles from the small minority of scientists who wrote articles about the possibility of the end of the interglacial, thsi is what they are going to say. First, the article authors will all be geologists - there wasn't really a discipline of climatology at the time, the only people talking about cooling and warming were geologists and archaeologists and paleontologists. Second, the articles will talk about the relatively recent discovery of the time scale of glacial and interglacial periods, which had really just been measured at that point by the relatively new technology of core sampling. combined with carbon dating, which establish the trie time frame of glaciations. Third, the articles will note that we were already into the 15th millenia of interglacial, and that the last series of interglacials, for about 600k years, had lasted an average of 10k years. Therefore, we were OVERDUE for an ice age. And, finally, they will all say... Fourth, that while we were technically overdue, there was no sign of an ice age, and measurements showed if anything a continuing warming trend. This was in the 70s - warming was noticeable even then, altho we had not yet really developed any global warming theory above the simplest of models, and climatology was not a seperate disciplione yet. Thats what I predict they will say. Prove me wrong. I leave out the peer review part, in which the majority of geologists basically said, "don't be hysterical, there is no evidence for a returning ice age'. Because THERE WAS NO CONSENSUS. It was just a dramatic theory that got a lot of news coverage - because it's dramatic, not because scientists thought much of it as a model.