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I think the entire election will come down to how well Obama can activate the far left. Romney will likely have trouble getting the far right to vote for him unless he is able to get a hardcore right winger as a running mate who doesn't come off as batshit crazy. The big problem Obama has is that many on the far left don't think he has been liberal enough and they are not all that enthusiastic. If they stay home and just assume he will win he could actually lose. If Obama can activate the far left like he did in the last election he will likely win pretty easily.
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