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Old 05-27-2012, 11:29 AM  
signupdamnit
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I think by the end of the year we will see another 20 to 30% of the industry gone

We've already seen an exodus but I think things are accelerating now.

Verotel - Raising fees on smaller owners significantly, dropping some of the very small ones completely. A couple years ago they discovered an "error" and started collecting from owners based on a couple years worth of transactions in "error".

Zombaio - Having somewhat serious problems getting payments to people on time.

CCBill - The biggest adult processor and ultimately in an indirect way adult's biggest affiliate program (I know). Has a huge successful webhosting business and is IMO likely to sell to a bigger player such as Manwin at any minute. Has been having a lot of small controversies lately such as with scrubbing and webverify.

I wouldn't be surprised to see one or more of these leave adult or fold in the next couple years. Especially as the adult pay site numbers decrease it may no longer be worth it to them. If CCBill in particular goes I can see that taking 50% of pay sites with it overnight and 50% of the old affiliates.

Some other models (non-paysite) will pick up some of the slack but by number of people in the industry it looks like it's radically dropping. Sad times.
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