I think you would be right if you said a year. Still summer is coming and that's a tough time for many.
I predict a lot of people working full time in online adult, will go part time and find other work.
Don't see CCbill selling, less turnover on a cash cow is still a good business. They will just cut costs.
Manwin will suck up some more of the weak businesses or just ignore them.
Those without a truly great product to sell, will find driving traffic isn't the solution any more. You can lead a horse to water.............
As for getting screwed, they're doing that because they can't operate without doing that. Affiliates might become too expensive for some and the cheaper option is to just buy tons of cheap content, open a Tube and then have user uploads from fake accounts or from site owners themselves. And sell the ads along side the owners own.
All industries mature and the small guys who stayed small have to go. The small guys who got big, don't need you. Sounds harsh, but it's true. The small guys rarely bring anything to the table. Excepting those with very small niche sites.
This says more about today than I ever could.
https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1053082
I'm glad we made it and amazed we're still trading 4 years after Eva's accident. I see us being here for a little while longer.