Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
I didn't say that he had no chance of winning. He has a chance and it is still four months away so a lot could happen, but when you look at the electoral college map he has a huge hill to climb and no room for error.
fivethirtyeight.com which is run by a guy who is statistics and numbers cruncher puts him at about a 33% chance of winning right now.
If he were to win I don't doubt that he would increase obscenity prosecutions, but he will have to walk the tight rope because if he wins it will solely on the promise of improving the economy and if he instead turns his attention to us and not jobs, people will be pissed.
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with the american public, its not that high of a hill to climb. yes he leads a lot by the electoral map, because he holds a slim lead in most of those swing states. that slim lead could disappear across the board over a matter of a single mistake. his chances are 33% right now, 1 mistake and it could flip to the other way, like his speaking gaffe on "you didn't build that." people are sheep - they can be persuaded, especially when their wallets are empty. notice we're not talking about romney and any of his policies, the heat is on obama with the market like this, not romney. neither of them can make a mistake.