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Old 07-20-2012, 11:07 AM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biggy2 View Post
with the american public, its not that high of a hill to climb. yes he leads a lot by the electoral map, because he holds a slim lead in most of those swing states. that slim lead could disappear across the board over a matter of a single mistake. his chances are 33% right now, 1 mistake and it could flip to the other way, like his speaking gaffe on "you didn't build that." people are sheep - they can be persuaded, especially when their wallets are empty. notice we're not talking about romney and any of his policies, the heat is on obama with the market like this, not romney. neither of them can make a mistake.
That is true. One big gaff either way could swing things. This is why I think Romney will not release his tax returns. I have a feeling there is something in there that would be difficult to explain and could hard him so he would rather deal with the fallout of now showing them. If he does show them and there is something major there it could be a nail in his coffin, but if he gets past this issue and the economy continues to struggle he could have a shot.
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