After reading Japanese news and talking to some friends here in Japan. Not that anyone cares. But here is how it may pan out.
New law is not intended to catch everyone. Keep in mind, record companies have a lot of power n Japan. Even more than in US. They regularly force ISP's to give up the goods on users. If the ISP data matches the record labels data, they get a warrant. They claim to have the ability to pinpoint.
So if they can show reasonable belief you are downloading, Police come and knock and then confiscate every computer and mobile device at the address. If they find nothing, you get everything back, no issue. If they find downloads you can be arrested.
Now keep in mind, in Japan,the moment the police come you are labeled a potential criminal. Your photos go up, name goes out and even neighborhood general address can be revealed. Unless you are a bunch of scumbags and don't care about being seriously isolated by everyone you now, your entire family will move far far away.
What makes Japan unique is that this is a huge problem for whole family. You may lose your job, family is disgraced, lives are shattered. What Japanese pols are speculating on is that 90% of the population just won't take the chance.
Apparently p2p has seen radical drops in usage recently.
They'll bust a few radicals or dimwits and make them examples for the rest. It generally works, over past 2-3000 years.
Just sayin.
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