Quote:
Originally Posted by ilnjscb
Maybe you have a rough idea of the size of the cam industry vs the whole? Because I don't think it is 10% unless you are counting file lockers.
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No I don't know. I said 10% but is a semi-random guess. Even if I knew the size of the cam industry, I sure don't know the size of the rest, so I can't compute. Adult sites revenue is super shady and tax evasion material, guys, how anyone can know except the owners, and would them ever tell anything? Even for the size of cam industry, despite I know lots of insider infos from other cam sites (rogue employees or friend with the ower being the sources), I am quite unsure - a few "whales" completely change those numbers, such as a $20,000 tip here and there.
Some intuitive calculation can be done also by number of models online - no one model will keep online unless making a minimum $$ per month, multiply this by the models and that's a "minimum" what cam business does. But what is earned in full as total who knows.
Quote:
Originally Posted by slapass
Paul, it is natural progression. Easy money can't stay easy.
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Exactly, except in case of monopoly and oligopoly
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oligopoly , where for some reason it became ridiculously difficult or impossible to compete with leader(s), and also no one (including law and governments) is going to change this.
When an oligopolist you can profit so easy as you wish since no one can force you to be cheaper or more efficient. Whoever had run an adult site in 1990's made so easy money because you was so few to do it, and was so difficult for average guys to find free porn.
Today, there's nothing as easy as find 2 people to fuck in front of a cam (everyone got a cam, unlike Paul Markham times, even in cellphones they got), as well as noting easier than upload such porn videos in tubes - and I mean amateur content, so legit, not stolen commercial content. Where it is the barriers to entry?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barriers_to_entry .
For adult it is unlikely the antitrust it would act like for mainstream, such as with Microsoft (in Europe they got fined badly), let's have Manwin buy 90% of adult sites and companies (I don't think it is happening anytime, imho), I would be surprised the antiturst in any country would go "help" the other adult businesses in any way, in fact govt would be even fear the ridicule or scandal for even take in consideration porn antitust actions, or any time of action except generic censorship.
So we got a cams oligopoly already, with last one to enter being mfc, and for prerecorded content (which is offtopic here but Paul brings it up of course) we got a few ones withh many bathrooms in office. live and prerecorded oligarchs cooperate (see whitelabel and popunders of tubes lol) but do not own each other yet, they're not merging yet. I think reason includes they're both too big to buy one the another
In middle of that, the cam girls are so many and "making less" in average than time ago, but not the (oligarch) cam sites, these do very well believe me