If you look at the five year span of AAPL stock, it's now sitting right where it should at around $530
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=A...=aapl;range=5y
It bubbled in Feb 2012, and then again in Jul 2012. Both those bubbles have simply popped.
If it doesn't level out to 520-540 range within the next 30 days I'm wrong, but I seriously doubt it.