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Old 01-27-2013, 03:18 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by GrantMercury View Post
That was my only concern, too. But I think Hillary is so ambitious that becoming the 1st female POTUS is something she'll want to do before she dies - especially since it's practically in the palm of her hand.



Well, having a viable alternative to Hillary and gaming the system are two different things. I'm not saying they can't possibly win in 2016, just that they have nobody to run with the star power she has. They have nobody of her caliber. Nobody who can beat her fairly. In fact, the GOP brand is so putrid they'd have a hard time winning dog catcher lately - which is exactly why they're working on the underhanded new rules you mention. The GOP truly is the party of rich, old, white, straight, angry men (and some religious lunatics, and some poor dupes who think Faux Newz is for real). And there just aren't enough of those people left to win elections anymore. So they have to figure out how to steal them.
It will be difficult for just about any republican to win the white house right now, but in three years a lot could change. If the economy isn't doing well a lot of people might be willing to try something different.

The big problem the republicans have is that the electoral map now works against them which is why they are gerrymandering the states that they can in order to put those states back in play.

A guy like Christie is the only republican out there right now who could change the electoral map. He could, potentially, put New Jersey in play. If he wins NJ and the republicans' gerrymandering efforts in Virginia, Ohio and Pennsylvania that is enough for them to flip the map and win he white house.

That is a tall order to pull off partly because the democrats are not just sitting around doing nothing. They are actually working hard to gain favor in some red states and some of the light blue states that recently flipped to them. Also, if it is Hilary that is the democrat, she could win Arkansas where she and Bill still have roots. Bill won some southern states so he and Hilary could put them in play.

As I say, it won't be easy for any republican. They are quickly becoming an outdated party, but when it comes to presidential elections it becomes less about party and more about the individual and how you can manipulate the electoral map.
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