whenever i gamble, its on sports. i get a win or 3 in the bag & think i can grow rich with my bright ideas. Problem is, i convert into an action junkie & i start being on anything. When i lose i chase, & it does not end until there is zero in the bank. So i cant gamble anymore.
but there are winning strategies if you have brains & balls.
My most solid winning angle is in the NBA, betting against playoff quality teams on the tail end of a weeklong road trip. The NBA rigs the schedule so the best teams sometimes face the worst teams after playing 3 games in 4 nights. This is why terrible teams sometimes beat the playoff teams, cause the better team is exhausted. the playoff team is always laying points despite the fatigue. the tell is when the oddsmaker makes that favorite unusually small. Thats a sucker bet & you should be on the dog. Its a rock solid money maker but you have to wait until the spot happens.
another good angle is betting the much better defense in the NFL. The superbowl was an extremely public example of this strategy at work. When the best offense faces the best defense, & the best offense has crappy D, bet the better D.
in college football its a good idea to lay the heavy favorites, because the september games are mostly non conference & the big chalks cover. once the schedule turns to conference play, gotta reverse course & find the good dogs. the late season is where the casual bettor, who killed it in september, gets killed.
in baseball, nothing else matters except pitching. & nothing is as sweet as winning money on a CG shutout. When the team you bet against cant get past 2nd base, its like free money.
& the best advice i can give is to learn from your mistakes & avoid repeating them. this advice is easy to say & so hard to do.
