12-16-2014, 08:33 AM
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Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Ottawa, Canada
Posts: 1,447
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dyna mo
The slide in oil prices will probably cut Canadian economic growth by 1/3 of a percentage point in 2015, not the 1/4 point the Bank of Canada estimated in late October, bank Governor Stephen Poloz told Reuters on Friday.
He was speaking on the sidelines of an International Monetary Fund forum in Santiago two days after he held the central bank's policy rate steady at 1 percent. In the interest rate decision, he pointed to the stimulative impact of U.S. economic strength but also to the chilling effect on Canada, a major oil exporter, of cheaper crude.
"When we're predicting growth somewhere between 2 and 2.5 percent, 0.3 (the percentage point reduction from oil) or thereabouts is an important factor. That's downside risk," Poloz said in Santiago.
On Oct. 29, he had estimated the effect of the lower oil price on economic growth to be a quarter point, but prices have continued to slide since then.
He said that while lower oil is negative for the Canadian economy, it is a little positive for the United States, and that it has a spillover effect in the form of stronger U.S. demand for Canadian goods. But the U.S. economy is performing well independently of the oil price, he said, and the lower Canadian dollar is also helping to lift Canadian growth.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dyna mo
In the past five years, sales by U.S. renewable-energy companies increased at a 49 percent annual rate, while sales by oil, gas and coal companies climbed 9.4 percent. Renewable-power production rose to a record 252 million megawatt-hours in 2013, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Oil generated 13 million megawatt-hours, down 88 percent since 2003.
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You keep quoting OIL prices and trends and whatnot and the thread was started in relation to the CANADIAN DOLLAR vs USD. As Canadians we are VERY HAPPY the dollar is going down. It is good for all of us that work online, it is good for Canadian exports and it is great for tourism which took a massive hit when the Canadian dollar was on par with the US.
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