Originally Posted by American Psycho

No pseudo this is what he's asking.
he's asking about STARTING NEW PAYSITE TODAY.

"If you were starting a new paysite today, high quality hardcore exclusive content, what would be a realistic number of members to be at a year later?"

And that is impossible to answer unless all the variables are clearly outlined amd even them its at best an estimate due to real life bs and intangibles.

Hosting? Does he pick a shit host t always down or hacked?
who's shooting it? It is good or meh or best ever?
marketing is endless pit of changing variables?
management?
Staff/contractor on point with delegated tasks or he gets robbed by shady webmaster or designer?
is your manager embezzling or spending frivolously?
does your office get hit and destroyed by a plane flying into the world trade towers? I say that cause it shut down a startupn I was working on.
Etc etc etc etc

Hes not asking a specific enough question and even if he did its still a guess to answer it.

Fact is most big startups fail even with millions in funding and top talent amd theres a reason for that. Its because its nearly impossible to answer.

And hes likely asking about starting a small biz with a bunch of yahoos on a realitively minimal budget.

Bang bros and the huge brands start sites or networks then stop them cause they dont work out for any number of reasons.so they cant answer that but you can?

Hmmmm