Originally Posted by kane

History is against Hilary, but things have changed a lot in the last 30+ years. I don't ever remember our country as divided along political lines as it is now (at least in my lifetime). I think the next election will likely be close and it will be similar to the last four elections. It will come down to who can win the majority of the 8-10 battleground states.

To me the winner of those battleground states will be the person who can get their base to turn out for them, connect with the young voters in those states and appeal to minorities. Republicans struggle with young voters and minorities, but their base hates Obama and they hate the Clintons so they will likely turn out. Will that be enough? I'm not sure.

One thing is for sure. Hillary is clearly not as strong as she was just 3-4 months ago. I still don't see a democrat out there who can take her down (but then again nobody saw Obama coming). The biggest question is who the republicans will end up nominating. They too don't have anyone on the horizon that doesn't come with a lot of baggage.