Quote:
Originally Posted by Axeman
Hillary or the Dem candidate will win 85-90% of the A.A vote, but what will the turnout be. Obama levels, or back to normal levels? Less turnout, and less % of that vote, could be important here.
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So you have about 3 million or so voters that may or may not vote in an normal election. Plus its unlikely Hillary is able to get 93-97% of that vote like Obama did.
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My thoughts exactly. I'd bet anything there will be a decrease in black turnout. However, don't you think it would be mitigated by an increase (and probable landslide) in women voters' turnout?