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Hillary will win the democratic nomination. The general election will very close. I don't know if she will win or not, but all of the stuff that is coming up now will likely have very little actual effect on the election.
To me the election will come down to who can better connect with young voters (those under 29) and minority voters (especially Hispanic voters). The republicans got their asses handed to them in those two areas in the last two elections. If they don't improve they won't win. If they can improve in those areas it is anyone's game.
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