Quote:
Originally Posted by Rochard
I am backing up my comment about how wrong polls can be by linking up to another poll that shows the direct opposite of the original poll. One pull is saying Trump is winning, while the other poll is saying the majority of Hispanics will not vote for him - which is a large percentage of the population.
Hispanics are now the majority here in California, and if 80% of them vote against Trump in the election he cannot win here. This will be a problem in every state where there is a large Hispanic population.
All the other side has to do is run ads saying "Mexicans are rapists" and then it's all over for Trump.
|
Trump could be losing all Hispanic voters and still be shown as leading in the polls. The two are not mutually exclusive. Hispanics might make up the majority of California, but they are only about 18% of the population nationwide.
They will play a major role in the election, however, because Trump would need to be able to win battleground states and if those states average an Hispanic population that makes up 18% of the voters that is a big block of votes to lose to his opponents.
While some polls are inaccurate, the reality is that the science behind them is actually pretty sound and in many cases they end up being pretty damn accurate.