Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
As I said above, it is still 4 months until the start of the primaries so a lot could happen, but Jeb will need a miracle. Nationally he is in 5th place polling at 7.3%. He is around that same number and in 5th or worse in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. The state he is doing best in is Florida where he was Governor and he is still in 3rd there and about 11 points off the lead. Jeb will need to find some major mojo or have people in front of him screw up badly if he is going to make up that ground.
However, I do agree it will be Clinton for the democrats. Bernie might put up a fight, but in the end Clinton will likely win the nomination.
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Historically, polls are a terrible method of judging these things. The polls are wrong more often than right. You would flip a coin and get better predictions. My guess of Jeb Bush might be way off, but something in my gut tells me it's not.
As for Clinton and Sanders, I really think Sanders is resonating more with voters. A lot of people don't like his socialist ideas, but that seems to be the only thing they don't like about him - other than his age. The only way Clinton is going to lock up the nomination is to get out ahead of her scandals and corporate backing.