Quote:
Originally Posted by CyberSEO
Yes of course. Read the history. For example, Belorussia was a part of Russia for all the time (it has never been independent). Armenia and Georgia has asked Russian czar be accepted by Russia because they were suffering of Turks. E.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armenian_Genocide - Russians have simple saved their people.
Poles were imperialists as well and they had actually invaded Moscow. And why should they take my words? They have to start using a simple logic. Why would Russia invade them if they are not a threat? Course if they turn Poland into a stockpile for the US nukes, no one will guaranty their security. If you don't want a bull to attack you, you will not dance with a red rag in front of his eyes (if you are not an idiot of course). Once again, read something about Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962. Especially take your attention to JFK's reaction. After that ask yourself a simple question: is there a single reason for Putin to act somehow different? |
You write about guaranteeing security - no one is guaranteeing it right now to begin with. NATO and article 5 is a bluff, but no one is going to attack an American military installation unless they want that mutually assured destruction thing to happen (which, as you said yourself - is going to be target #1 in a pre-emptive strike). A pre-emptive strike does not have to be nuclear, as any weapons there could be taken destroyed by non-nuclear weapons. The Russian media portrays NATO as the aggressor and our (mostly German) media portrays Russia as the aggressor.
As for why would Putin act differently then JFK? Because times are different, intelligence and spying has evolved far beyond what it was in the 60s, and I feel Putin is actually quite cool-headed (Case-in-point, He hasn't turned Turkey into a smouldering crater, and he could probably take Istanbul in a week if he wanted to). He's not going to turn red with anger. He'd answer by placing nukes in Kaliningrad if they aren't already there, and probably some economic sanctions - but he's not going to attack Poland either. Cuba is small island, Poland is a sizable country.
Who knows though, maybe Kaczynski (the "power behind the throne so to speak) is fantasizing about rebuilding Poland as a superpower like it was in the 1600s or something. Maybe we'll be invading Ukraine from the other end - who knows... Nothing to do but wait and see how it plays out.
IMHO our biggest threat isn't Putin, it's Merkel...