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Originally Posted by mineistaken
Ok so what is the end user of something like ndgp.com or 57269.com?
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It is impossible to predict what someone will pay for it. I like the sound of ndgp.com so I figure because of no vowels, because its radio friendly and easy phonetics then maybe we could be talking about $3k upwards (Estibot.com says $2.3k). As the other guy said, you just get a feel for these things by the combinations, positioning and so on.
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For those 4L and 5N not to be a bubble all those names have to have targeted end users.
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You're right, its not necessarily that 4L and 5N are a bubble. However, I would say that perhaps you go to 5L and 6N and they you're going into an area where the domains may not find users outside of the trading market. I would say I'm less sure about them but regarding 4L and 5N, here's my back of cigarette packet calculation:
4L: 26 x 26 x 26 x 26 = 456,976 combinations
5N: 10 x 10 x 10 x 10 x 10 = 100,000 combinations
So you have a total of just under
557,000 Combinations serving a global population of approx 7 Billion people.
Just assuming everyone is online (which certainly isnt the case), there is just one 4L or 5N domain name in dot com form available for every 12,500 people in the world but even if you take just China alone it looks possible that some large portion of them *could* conceivably find a home.
However, the Chinese have specifically adopted numbering and this is why they like the numerics - many of the oldest chinese websites are on dot com numerics and many of the usernames on chinese websites are in a numerical form. The letters (minus a,e,i,o,u and v) have some other meaning within china which the Chinese like but I am not totally familiar with how they nagivate that one except that Q, J and Z are preferred letters.
Personally, I don't much like the numerics for any market outside China because I would feel obligated to also own the dot com with the numbers in text alphabet form but obviously they are selling for exceptionally prices and as you see above, they are very rare compared with the letter combinations.