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Old 03-20-2016, 05:36 PM  
rowan
Too lazy to set a custom title
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 17,393
Quote:
Originally Posted by mce View Post
There's always a nice little run up before the BLACK SWAN shows up
Think about it, by definition, it would not be a black swan event, if there's signs of it approaching...

I was reading about a physicist who did some fancy math and predicted the GFC, before it happened, and regressively, prior crashes such as the late 90s tech crash, and the 1990s housing crash in Japan. Can't remember details but it was some sort of oscillation that is usually related to physics data. Even these "black swans" have clear indicators.
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