Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
You have to think that Hillary is starting to have a sense of deja vu. Bernie still has a long ways to go, but he as a shitload of money and is gaining momentum. A month ago I thought he was done, but it looks like he now has a punchers chance.
Cruz is an asshole, but there are big Trump friendly states coming up. Cruz will have to win 80% of the remaining delegates in order to outright win the nomination. That's going to be hard for him to do.
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The states coming up are more friendly to Clinton. 210 delegates is too many to make up. There are 1664 delegates left to allocate, and Sanders would need 57% of them. That sounds easy, but look at Wisconsin where he won by 13% and gained 11 delegates on her. New York, Pennsylvania, California and New Jersey are the states to watch. They have 1,037 of the remaining 1,664 delegates. In all of those contests she is favored.
Republicans are destined for a contested convention. I think they lose this year regardless. Ted Cruz won't even have a majority in his own party, and will be seen as having stolen the election. Believe me, the Dems would MUCH rather have him as an opponent.