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Old 04-17-2016, 04:51 PM  
dyna mo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slapass View Post
You are making a prediction based on what you see as facts. I understand how others not agreeing with your conclusions can be viewed as emotional but it is also possible that you are viewing it in that light.
The problems you list are likely to get better or worse. If they have orders, they will increase production to keep up. Most companies can do this. They should become more reliable as they will get more data on what fails early and can act to correct it. I am guessing that most people will charge at home. The idea of taking my Tesla cross country in the face of its weakest attribute seems a bit uninformed.

The battery one seems a bit bigger. Is it not possible that they will simply switch ot a new battery if something better comes out? I would think that is not a big deal. But time will tell.
The drive train is much less complicated. Again time will show if the wheels start fallling off but so far so good.
you raise some good points. it could go either way, you're right. i worded the title in a bold way. Tesla is a bold company with huge goals. disrupting the car bidness is huge. everything from the way cars are legally sold in each state to how their powered and more. my concern is that the gestalt of all the challenges is too much for anyone to overcome. upsetting the car industry while creating brand new industries like Lithium mining and needing the entire supply to match production quotas, all hinging on a brainiac entrepreneur, who btw, is also "nanomanaging" a rocket science business with goals of upsetting that business model also, is a lot to accomplish. too much i'm afraid.
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