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On a more serious notes - in this case polls are too early. Trump "has not even started on Clinton" as first and secondly - at this time there are plenty of anti trumpster republicans, they will swallow that and will vote for Trump eventually (that does not show in polls yet).
Plus Trump will start being more "presidential" - again will attract some extras.
Plus Trump may get woman/latino VP - extra votes.
So the circumstances are not usual in comparison to previous elections.
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