Quote:
Originally Posted by ilnjscb
Van Jones is a smart dude, but ....
Delegate Calculator - What Would It Take To Turn The Blue States Red
Blacks will not turn out like they did for Obama, at 66%. He would need to get 30% of the black vote at 55%+ turnout to beat her, not 15%. I doubt he'll get 30%. However, whites with no college degree will turn out in greater numbers. That, based on what he has said, seems to be his strategy, to take back the Reagan democrats. |
No blacks won't turn out like they did for Obama. They all wanted to vote for a black President (nothing wrong with that).
BUT...having said that, I don't know if Van Jones was taking that into account or not. Or if he were taking into account that Republican primary voting is up 70% over what it was in 2012.
Trump already has 3 million more votes than Romney did at this same time in the primaries 4 years ago.
Plus polling has already shown that Trump is going to pull 20% of Democrats as well.
Maybe with all of that happening PLUS the 30% of overall blacks who like Trump...all he may need is 15% of the black vote this year to put him over.
I'm starting to think it's definitely going to be Pres. Trump