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Originally Posted by Robbie
And you are making the mistake of believing those political analysts who (like you) have been 100% wrong about Trump every step of the way.
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But the polling has been rather consistent.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robbie
In one sentence you say that 56% of Republican women voted for Trump in a 3 way race.
That is REALITY.
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This is a misrepresentation. The truth is 56% of Republican women IN ONE STATE (one very small state) voted for Trump. When you start comparing him to national polling models, he doesn't stand a chance.
This is common knowledge; Everyone in the country knows the Republicans need to win over Hispanics and women. And Trump cannot pull that off.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robbie
In the next breath, you list a bunch of polls that don't reflect actual voting.
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Polls are ALL we have until the election. What is going on is pretty much irrelevant. Trump seems to be winning over the Republican party, but this only leads to the election. The key here - for any election - is a candidate needs to win over their party completely, a large percentage of independents, and then large percentage of the other side. I don't think Trump will be able to get 100% of the Republican vote; I think a lot of Republicans will stay home on election day. He surely won't win the independents or any Democratic votes.
ALL we have right now is polling models. And the polling models have never looked this bad for a candidate.