Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
Where do you get that info?
A friend of mine's dad worked for a major trucking company and he had the same truck for about 15 years. Another person I know works for himself as an owner/driver and his truck is about 15 years old at least.
They might rebuild motors and transmissions, but my understanding is the truck isn't replaced that often.
That said, I think we will eventually see automated semi's take over the industry, but I don't think it will get serious for another 15-20 years.
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I'm not saying it will happen in 5-10 years, I'm saying once there is a proven system ready to go it will replace drivers over the course of 5 to 10 years.
My thought, is it will start like a train system. Driverless trucks will do the over the road trucking and drop off and pick up at localized shipment yards. Actual drivers will then do the local driving to the final destination.
As far as 5 and 10 year old trucks, I'm talking mostly big fleet trucks but the lowered savings on insurance will squeeze out the little guys.
As insurance premiums go down for driverless trucks they will go up for trucks with drivers as insurance companies have less and less of a pool to cover the losses. The same will happen to normal drivers as well.
It will get too expensive to drive yourself because of the cost of insurance.